Dual live lanes — Alpaca + Schwab — with evidence, not backtest cosmetics.
Strategy Trader is a controlled live system: Schwab data drives signals, Alpaca and Schwab execute real money with shared risk caps. Every promotion is gated on runtime evidence — closed trades, drawdown behavior, and operator discipline — not screen optics alone.
Live Week 2 · dual lanes active
Alpaca reset 6/01 · Schwab reset 6/08 · 12-symbol watchlist · comparing returns to major indices · projecting to Jan 1, 2027 at +$1/trading day with confidence meter.
| Index | 6/01→ | 6/08→ |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | −2.21% | +0.34% |
| NASDAQ | −2.88% | +0.74% |
| Dow Jones | +0.32% | +0.82% |
| Russell 2000 | +1.37% | +3.11% |
Boring, visible, repeatable
How Strategy Trader moves from research to controlled live execution
- Finviz · momentum / volatility
- Merrill · 3-month change / SMA distance
- Schwab screen · industry-relative candidates
- Manual review · stringent criteria
- Schwab 5-minute bars are the research source
- EMA20/EMA50 + RSI tested long and short
- Backtest P/L is predictive baseline only
- Top dual-side winners → live watchlist (12 symbols)
- Task Scheduler 8:20 AM CT
- Schwab bars drive signals for both lanes
- Alpaca + Schwab bracket orders execute
- live-data.json + schwab-live-data.json publish
Balance path · Jan 1, 2027 · confidence level
Planning uses +$1/trading day until confidence reaches planning-grade (~September 2026). Full observed pace ($2.84/day) stays aggressive until ~250 trading days.
| Benchmark | Since 6/01 | Since 6/08 | Alpaca live | Schwab live |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | −2.21% | +0.34% | +2.86% | +0.47% |
| NASDAQ (QQQ) | −2.88% | +0.74% | +2.86% | +0.47% |
| Dow Jones (DIA) | +0.32% | +0.82% | +2.86% | +0.47% |
| Russell 2000 (IWM) | +1.37% | +3.11% | +2.86% | +0.47% |
| Strategy Trader | +2.86% | +0.47% | Alpaca | Schwab |
Dual live scorecard
Alpaca live · reset 6/01
Schwab live · reset 6/08
Live trading cockpit
Watchlist: SPIR, HYLN, SSYS, SBLK, RZLT, BB, PCT, CODX, STUB, QH, RDW, AMC — backtest ranked dual-side P/L informed selection; live FIFO confirms top performers.
This week prep (Jun 16+): Review Week 2 drawdown recovery, compare vs Russell/IWM, refresh Schwab token, no watchlist changes unless gate fails.
Selected candidates — live FIFO leaders
| Symbol | Lane | Realized P/L | Round trips | Notes |
|---|
Path from research to dual live operations
Major changes timeline
- Backtest is predictive baseline only — live FIFO and index comparison are the truth layers.
- Confidence is speculative (~10 trading days) — plan on +$1/day, not observed linear pace.
- Schwab refresh token expires every 7 days — refresh before the trading week.
- Dual-lane symbol routing may differ (Schwab $50 cap vs Alpaca $250).
- Drawdown weeks (6/9–6/11) must recover without giving back the thesis.